Determining Landscape Connectivity and Climate Change Refugia Across the Sierra Nevada

In this project, scientists identified climate change refugia and connectivity between meadows across the Sierra Nevada and used data on persistence, stability, and genetic diversity of mammal populations to validate these hypotheses. Incorporating landscape features such as availability of water, topography, and roads, the project team developed a method to map well-connected meadows and examine the potential changes to the nature of those connections.

Sea-level Rise Modeling Across the California Salt Marsh Gradient

This project uses modeling at a parcel scale to measure the effects of sea-level rise on coastal ecosystems and tidal salt marshes. The project team will measure several parameters that will be incorporated into ArcGIS models creating comparable datasets across the Pacific coast tidal gradient. The ultimate goal is to provide science support tools for local adaptation planning from the bottom-up that may be implemented under a structured decision-making framework.

Maximizing evolutionary potential under climate change in southern California protected areas

The project transfers a previously developed prioritization framework that combines intraspecific genetic and morphological variation with traditionally used indices of biodiversity, and test its general utility for conservation prioritization. This project will integrate existing data on intraspecific variation of multiple species in the Santa Monica Mountains National Recreational Area with climate data and space-borne measurements of the environment to identify areas with high intraspecific variation.

Decision support for climate change adaptation and fire management strategies for at risk species in southern California

This project models how the effects of climate-induced changes to species distributions and land use change will impact threatened species in fire-prone ecosystems in Southern California. This project also identifies and prioritizes potential management responses to climate change. Products include maps of habitat suitability under current and future conditions, population models and dynamic bioclimate envelopes, recommendations on management option, and an adaptive management framework for structured decision making.

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